Oscar Nominations Predictions 2020

I'm predicting that Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood will lead the pack with 12 nods, followed by The Irishman with 10 and 1917 with 9. Other major players will be Little Women, Jojo Rabbit, Joker, Marriage Story and Parasite. In my tallies at the bottom I'm counting my top ten Picture nominees, but I think it will stop at 8 this year. Sorry, Ford vs Ferrari and Knives Out. This year can be made notable by the fact that there still really isn't a frontrunner, although I suspect that Tarantino will finally get his Director and/or Picture Oscar. 1917 has made a huge surge in recent weeks, and I'm also feeling one for Rocketman, although I don't think it will break into Picture. Despite Disney's campaigning for Avengers: Endgame, I don't think it will pan out. Gee, shucks. Honeyland looks to surprise with being nominated for both International and Documentary features. Neat!

Best Picture

1. Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood
2. The Irishman
3. 1917
4. Parasite
5. Jojo Rabbit
6. Joker
7. Marriage Story
8. Little Women
9. Ford vs Ferrari
10. Knives Out
11. The Two Popes
12. The Farewell
13. Bombshell
14. Uncut Gems
15. Rocketman
16. A Beautiful Day in the Neighbourhood
17. Dolemite is My Name
18. Us
19. Pain and Glory
20. Avengers: Endgame

Director

1. Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood
2. Sam Mendes, 1917
3. Martin Scorsese, The Irishman
4. Bong Joon Ho, Parasite
5. Taika Waititi, Jojo Rabbit
6. Greta Gerwig, Little Women
7. Todd Phillips, Joker
8. Noah Baumbach, Marriage Story
9. Pedro Almodovar, Pain and Glory
10. Lulu Wang, The Farewell

Actress

1. Renee Zellweger, Judy
2. Charlize Theron, Bombshell
3. Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story
4. Saoirse Ronan, Little Women
5. Awkwfina, The Farewell
6. Luputa Nyong'o, Us
7. Cynthia Erivo, Harriet
8. Alfre Woodard, Clemency
9. Helen Mirran, The Good Liar
10. Julianne Moore, Gloria Bell

Actor
Maybe the most stacked I've ever seen this category, I can see arguments for all ten of these actors, and even more: Roman Griffin Davis in Jojo Rabbit, George Mackay in 1917...
1. Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
2. Adam Driver, Marriage Story
3. Taron Egerton, Rocketman
4. Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood
5. Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory
6. Christian Bale, Ford vs Ferrari
7. Adam Sandler, Uncut Gems
8. Robert DeNiro, The Irishman
9. Eddie Murphy, Dolemite is My Name
10. Jonathan Pryce, The Two Popes

Supporting Actress

1. Laura Dern, Marriage Story
2. Margot Robbie, Bombshell
3. Scarlett Johansson, Jojo Rabbit
4. Jennifer Lopez, Hustlers
5. Florence Pugh, Little Women
6. Zhao Shuzhen, The Farewell
7. Kathy Bates, Richard Jewell
8. Annette Bening, The Report
9. Nicole Kidman, Bombshell
10. Margot Robbie, Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood

Supporting Actor

1. Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood
2. Al Pacino, The Irishman
3. Joe Pesci, The Irishman
4. Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighbourhood
5. Anthony Hopkins, The Two Popes
6. Willem Dafoe, The Lighthouse
7. Jamie Foxx, Just Mercy
8. Song Kang Ho, Parasite
9. Alan Alda, Marriage Story
10. Sterling K Brown, Waves

Original Screenplay

1. Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood
2. Marriage Story
3. Parasite
4. Knives Out
5. The Farewell
6. 1917
7. Pain and Glory
8. Booksmart
9. Bombshell
10. Us

Adapted Screenplay

1. The Irishman
2. Jojo Rabbit
3. Little Women
4. The Two Popes
5. Joker
6. A Beautiful Day in the Neighbourhood
7. Just Mercy
8. Hustlers
9. Toy Story 4
10. The Laundromat

Editing

1. Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood
2. The Irishman
3. Ford vs Ferrari
4. Parasite
5. 1917
6. Marriage Story
7. Joker
8. Jojo Rabbit
9. Uncut Gems
10. Knives Out

Cinematography

1. 1917
2. The Irishman
3. Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood
4. The Lighthouse
5. Joker
6. Ford vs Ferrari
7. Parasite
8. Portrait of a Lady on Fire
9. Ad Astra
10. A Hidden Life

Production Design

1. The Irishman
2. Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood
3. 1917
4. Little Women
5. Jojo Rabbit
6. Parasite
7. Joker
8. Ad Astra
9. Downton Abbey
10. Ford vs Ferrari

Costume Design

1. Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood
2. Little Women
3. Dolemite is My Name
4. Rocketman
5. The Irishman
6. Downton Abbey
7. Jojo Rabbit
8. Joker
9. Judy
10. Knives Out

Makeup and Hairstyling

1. Bombshell
2. Rocketman
3. Joker
4. Judy
5. Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood
6. 1917
7. Dolemite is My Name
8. Maleficent: Mistress of Evil
9. Downton Abbey
10. Little Women


Original Score

1. Joker
2. 1917
3. Little Women
4. Jojo Rabbit
5. Marriage Story
6. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
7. Us
8. Pain and Glory
9. The Farewell
10. Avengers: Endgame

Original Song

1. "I'm Gonna Love Me Again", Rocketman
2. "Into the Unknown", Frozen II
3. "Stand Up", Harriet
4. "Spirit", The Lion King
5. "Glasgow", Wild Rose
6. "A Glass of Soju", Parasite
7. "Speechless", Aladdin
8. "I Can't Let You Throw Yourself Away", Toy Story 4
9. "I'm Standing With You", Breakthrough
10. "Catchy Song", The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part

Sound Mixing
I have a hunch that Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood will make it in both sound categories. I've been right before about The King's Speech and Roma with these hunches, so let's see!

1. 1917
2. Ford vs Ferrari
3. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
4. Rocketman
5. Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood
6. Avengers: Endgame
7. Joker
8. Ad Astra
9. The Irishman
10. Parasite

Sound Editing

1. 1917
2. Ford vs Ferrari
3. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
4. Avengers: Endgame
5. Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood
6. Ad Astra
7. Joker
8. Rocketman
9. The Irishman
10. Parasite

Visual Effects

1. Avengers: Endgame
2. The Lion King
3. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
4. The Irishman
5. 1917
6. Alita: Battle Angel
7. Gemini Man
8. Captain Marvel
9. Terminator: Dark Fate
10. Cats

Animated Feature

1. Toy Story 4
2. Frozen II
3. How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
4. Missing Link
5. I Lost My Body
6. Abominable
7. Klaus
8. Weathering With You
9. The Addams Family
10. The Lion King (Despite it not being submitted, I believe)


International Feature

1. Parasite (South Korea)
2. Pain and Glory (Spain)
3. Les Misérables (France)
4. Atlantics (Senegal)
5. Honeyland (North Macedonia)
6. Beanpole (Russia)
7. The Painted Bird (Czechia)
8. Corpus Christi (Poland)

Documentary Feature

1. Apollo 11
2. American Factory
3. Honeyland
4. For Sama
5. The Cave
6. One Child Nation
7. Knock Down the House
8. The Biggest Little Farm
9. The Edge of Democracy
10. Maiden

Tallies


Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood 12
The Irishman 10
1917 9
Little Women 7
Jojo Rabbit 6
Joker 6
Marriage Story 6
Parasite 5
Rocketman 5
Ford vs Ferrari 4 
Bombshell 3 
Star Wars 3
Avengers 2
Knives Out 2
Judy 2
Pain and Glory 2
The Farewell 2
Two Popes 2
Frozen II 2
The Lion King 2
Honeyland 2
Hustlers 1
The Lighthouse 1
Dolemite is My Name 1
Harriet 1
Wild Rose 1
Toy Story 1
How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World 1
Missing Link 1
Les Misérables 1
Atlantics 1
I Lost My Body 1
Apollo 11 1
American Factory 1
For Sama 1
The Cave 1