Tuesday, February 8, 2022

Oscar Nominations Reaction 2022

75/105

Certainly not my best year, but that's also because of so many surprises! Almost every category had a "Huh! Didn't see that coming" moment: Nightmare Alley sneaking into Picture; Villeneuve missing like he did at the BAFTAs; surprises in both supporting acting roles (Simmons? Dench?); West Side Story doing well, but not quite as well as I was expecting; editing, which left out some key players; Drive My Car getting four nominations, not just for International; and the hilarious snubs of House of Gucci.

It certainly looks like The Power of the Dog's to lose at this point, as it leads with twelve nominations, a little bit more than what people were predicting.

Best Picture

1. Belfast
2. The Power of the Dog
3. Dune
4. West Side Story
5. Licorice Pizza
6. CODA
7. King Richard
8. Don't Look Up
10. Drive My Car
13. Nightmare Alley

9/10

Director
I'm sorry, what? Did Dune just direct itself to ten nominations?

1. Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
3. Paul Thomas Anderson, Licorice Pizza
4. Kenneth Branagh, Belfast
5. Steven Spielberg, West Side Story
6. Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Drive My Car

4/5


Actress
Gaga, who has been campaigning hard for the nomination, has been snubbed! Stewart, who many were considering to be out of the rankings because of misses with BAFTA and SAG, makes it in.

1. Nicole Kidman, Being the Ricardos
2. Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter
4. Jessica Chastain, The Eyes of Tammy Faye
6. Penelope Cruz, Parallel Mothers
7. Kristen Stewart, Spencer

3/5

Actor
Aaaaaand it's the SAG five.

1. Will Smith, King Richard
2. Benedict Cumberpatch, The Power of the Dog
3. Denzel Washington, The Tragedy of Macbeth
4. Andrew Garfield, tick, tick... Boom!
6. Javier Bardem, Being the Ricardos

4/5

Supporting Actress
Belfast was nominated here, but with a different actress: the legendary Judi Dench, whom I suspected early on would make it in, but never had the guts to say.

1. Ariana DeBose, West Side Story
2. Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog
4. Aunjanue Ellis, King Richard
8. Jessie Buckley, The Lost Daughter
-. Judi Dench, Belfast

3/5

Supporting Actor

1. Kodi Smit-McPhee, The Power of the Dog
2. Troy Kotsur, CODA
3. Ciaran Hinds, Belfast
7. Jesse Plemons, The Power of the Dog
-. J.K. Simmons, Being the Ricardos

3/5

Adapted Screenplay

1. The Power of the Dog
2. CODA
4. Dune
5. Drive My Car
6. The Lost Daughter

4/5

Original Screenplay

1. Licorice Pizza
2. Belfast
3. King Richard
4. Don't Look Up
10. The Worst Person in the World

4/5

Editing

1. Dune
2. The Power of the Dog
6. Don't Look Up
7. tick, tick... Boom!
8. King Richard

2/5

Cinematography

1. Dune
2. The Power of the Dog
3. The Tragedy of Macbeth
4. West Side Story
6. Nightmare Alley

4/5

Production Design

1. Dune
2. Nightmare Alley
3. West Side Story
5. The Tragedy of Macbeth
-. The Power of the Dog

4/5

Costume Design
When House of Gucci missed here, I knew the film was in trouble and anticipated snubs.

1. Cruella
2. Dune
4. West Side Story
5. Nightmare Alley
7. Cyrano

4/5

Makeup and Hairstyling

1. The Eyes of Tammy Faye
2. Dune
3. Cruella
4. House of Gucci
9. Coming 2 America

4/5

Original Score

1. Dune
2. The Power of the Dog
3. Don't Look Up
4. Encanto
6. Parallel Mothers

4/5


Original Song

1. "No Time to Die", No Time to Die
2. "Dos Oruguitas", Encanto
3. "Be Alive", King Richard
7. "Down to Joy", Belfast
-. "Somehow You Do", Four Good Days

3/5

Sound

1. Dune
2. West Side Story
3. No Time to Die
5. Belfast
6. The Power of the Dog

4/5

Visual Effects

1. Dune
2. Spider-Man: No Way Home
3. Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings
6. No Time to Die
7. Free Guy

3/5

Animated Feature

1. Encanto
2. Flee
3. The Mitchells vs the Machines
4. Luca
5. Raya and the Last Dragon

5/5


International Feature

1. Drive My Car (Japan)
3. Flee (Denmark)
4. The Worst Person in the World (Norway)
5. The Hand of God (Italy)
8. Lunana: A Yak in the Classroom (Bhutan)

4/5

Documentary Feature

1. Flee
4. Ascension
5. Summer of Soul
8. Attica
10. Writing with Fire

3/5


Tallies: Films With More Than One Nomination

The Power of the Dog 12
Dune 10
West Side Story 7

Belfast 7
King Richard 6
Don't Look Up 4
Drive My Car 4
Nightmare Alley 4
Being the Ricardos 3
CODA 3
Encanto 3
Flee 3
Licorice Pizza 3
The Lost Daughter 3
The Tragedy of Macbeth 3
No Time to Die 3
Cruella 2
The Eyes of Tammy Faye 2
Parallel Mothers 2
tick, tick... Boom! 2
The Worst Person in the World 2

Monday, February 7, 2022

Oscar Nominations Predictions 2022

I haven't been following the Oscar race as closely this year, with one primary reason: I haven't been to the cinema since the pandemic started. Therefore, I haven't seen these films... but I'm still making my predictions! This is based on critical and industry support, along with following Film Twitter and awards blogs. It looks like it's a four-way race between Belfast, The Power of the Dog, Dune and West Side Story for Oscar glory, with these films leading the tally.

Best Picture


1. Belfast
2. The Power of the Dog
3. Dune
4. West Side Story
5. Licorice Pizza
6. CODA
7. King Richard
8. Don't Look Up
9. tick, tick... Boom!
10. Drive My Car
11. The Tragedy of Macbeth
12. Being the Ricardos
13. Nightmare Alley
14. House of Gucci
15. The Lost Daughter
16. Spider-Man: No Way Home
17. Cyrano
18. Spencer
19. Titane
20. Parallel Mothers

Director
I'm going with the DGA five, but this is a category ripe for surprises.

1. Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
2. Denis Villeneuve, Dune
3. Paul Thomas Anderson, Licorice Pizza
4. Kenneth Branagh, Belfast
5. Steven Spielberg, West Side Story
6. Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Drive My Car
7. Julia Ducournau, Titane
8. Joel Coen, The Tragedy of Macbeth
9. Pedro Almodovar, Parallel Mothers
10. Adam McKay, Don't Look Up
Also in Contention: Reinaldo Marcus Green (King Richard), Guillermo del Toro (Nightmare Alley), Maggie Gyllenhaal (The Lost Daughter), Lin-Manuel Miranda (tick, tick... Boom!), Sian Heder (CODA)


Actress
Unlike last year, where the final five were widely predicted, this time there is a general consensus that the category is in flux. No one can agree on who's the front-runner, with Stewart missing out on some major award nominations when only a few months ago she was practically crowned Victor-in-Waiting. I think that Haim will make it in, but I'm not confident in this lineup at all. Expect there to be some surprises tomorrow morning.

1. Nicole Kidman, Being the Ricardos
2. Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter
3. Lady Gaga, House of Gucci
4. Jessica Chastain, The Eyes of Tammy Faye
5. Alana Haim, Licorice Pizza
6. Penelope Cruz, Parallel Mothers
7. Kristen Stewart, Spencer
8. Jennifer Hudson, Respect
9. Rachel Zegler, West Side Story
10. Frances McDormand, The Tragedy of Macbeth

Actor
I'm just not convinced that Bardem will translate his SAG nomination to an Oscar one. Does that mean that DiCaprio will sneak into that fifth place? Or will Dinklage or Cage make it in, with their well-received performances in smaller films?

1. Will Smith, King Richard
2. Benedict Cumberpatch, The Power of the Dog
3. Denzel Washington, The Tragedy of Macbeth
4. Andrew Garfield, tick, tick... Boom!
5. Nicolas Cage, Pig
6. Javier Bardem, Being the Ricardos
7. Leonardo DiCaprio, Don't Look Up
8. Peter Dinklage, Cyrano
9. Adam Driver, Annette
10. Hidetoshi Nishijima, Drive My Car

Supporting Actress
How wonderful would it be to see Moreno make it in, along with DeBose? I mean, to see Moreno, who won the Oscar for the 1961 West Side Story as Anita, watch rising star DeBose win for the same role? That's just the kind of delicious thing that the Academy lives for. Alas, I don't think Moreno will make it in, but this is a strong category that is just itching for a surprise.

1. Ariana DeBose, West Side Story
2. Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog
3. Caitriona Balfe, Belfast
4. Aunjanue Ellis, King Richard
5. Ruth Negga, Passing
6. Ann Dowd, Mass
7. Rita Moreno, West Side Story
8. Jessie Buckley, The Lost Daughter
9. Marlee Matlin, CODA
10. Cate Blanchett, Nightmare Alley

Supporting Actor
Please don't make me list Jared Leto for his "Mamma-Mia, I like-a-da-spicy-meatball" performance.

1. Kodi Smit-McPhee, The Power of the Dog
2. Troy Kotsur, CODA
3. Ciaran Hinds, Belfast
4. Bradley Cooper, Licorice Pizza
5. Mike Faist, West Side Story
6. Jared Leto, House of Gucci
7. Jesse Plemons, The Power of the Dog
8. Jamie Dornan, Belfast
9. Ben Affleck, The Tender Bar
10. Jason Isaacs, Mass

Adapted Screenplay
What a category! I think any of the top ten here have a chance to make it in. I'm not all that convinced with CODA, but the industry awards to far have been in its favour, so there we have it.

1. The Power of the Dog
2. CODA
3. West Side Story
4. Dune
5. Drive My Car
6. The Lost Daughter
7. The Tragedy of Macbeth
8. Nightmare Alley
9. Passing
10. tick, tick... Boom!

Original Screenplay
A remarkably weak category this year, with two films that were not all that well received sneaking into the top five positions, yet getting industry support: Don't Look Up and Being the Ricardos.

1. Licorice Pizza
2. Belfast
3. King Richard
4. Don't Look Up
5. Being the Ricardos
6. Parallel Mothers
7. Mass
8. A Hero
9. Pig
10. The Worst Person in the World

Editing
I suspect that Drive My Car may make it in, but with no precursor mentions, it's at the bottom of my top ten list. So why do I think this? Because the last few weeks have been a flurry of people talking about the film, and with its surprising pacing and gutsy decisions (with the title card 45 minutes into the film). Still, you can't go wrong with this top five.

1. Dune
2. The Power of the Dog
3. Belfast
4. Licorice Pizza
5. West Side Story
6. Don't Look Up
7. tick, tick... Boom!
8. King Richard
9. Summer of Soul
10. Drive My Car

Cinematography
I'm not seeing anyone mention Passing in their nominations, but it's another film that I think may surprise here.

1. Dune
2. The Power of the Dog
3. The Tragedy of Macbeth
4. West Side Story
5. Belfast
6. Nightmare Alley
7. The Green Knight
8. Spencer
9. tick, tick... Boom!
10. Passing

Production Design

1. Dune
2. Nightmare Alley
3. West Side Story
4. The French Dispatch
5. The Tragedy of Macbeth
6. Cyrano
7. Belfast
8. Spencer
9. Cruella
10. The Last Duel

Costume Design

1. Cruella
2. Dune
3. House of Gucci
4. West Side Story
5. Nightmare Alley
6. Spencer
7. Cyrano
8. The French Dispatch
9. Coming 2 America
10. Annette

Makeup and Hairstyling

1. The Eyes of Tammy Faye
2. Dune
3. Cruella
4. House of Gucci
5. West Side Story
6. Nightmare Alley
7. The Suicide Squad
8. Cyrano
9. Coming 2 America
10. No Time to Die

Original Score

1. Dune
2. The Power of the Dog
3. Don't Look Up
4. Encanto
5. The French Dispatch
6. Parallel Mothers
7. Spencer
8. No Time to Die
9. The Harder They Fall
10. The Green Knight

Original Song
No, "We Don't Talk About Bruno" won't be nominated. Why? Because it wasn't submitted for consideration, something that a lot of people have been calling a huge mistake for Disney.

1. "No Time to Die", No Time to Die
2. "Dos Oruguitas", Encanto
3. "Be Alive", King Richard
4. "Just Look Up", Don't Look Up
5. "Here I Am Singing My Way Home", Respect
6. "Guns Go Bang", The Harder They Fall
7. "Down to Joy", Belfast
8. "So May We Start", Annette
9. "Your Song Saved My Life", Sing 2
10. "Beyond the Shore", CODA

Sound

1. Dune
2. West Side Story
3. No Time to Die
4. tick, tick... Boom!
5. Belfast
6. The Power of the Dog
7. Spider-Man: No Way Home
8. A Quiet Place Part II
9. The Matrix Resurrections
10. Last Night in Soho

Visual Effects

1. Dune
2. Spider-Man: No Way Home
3. Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings
4. The Matrix Resurrections
5. Godzilla vs. Kong
6. No Time to Die
7. Free Guy
8. Eternals
9. Ghostbusters: Afterlife
10. Black Widow

Animated Feature
You'll notice something here: Flee is predicted in Animated, International and Documentary feature categories. Cool!

1. Encanto
2. Flee
3. The Mitchells vs the Machines
4. Luca
5. Raya and the Last Dragon
6. Belle
7. Sing 2
8. The Summit of the Gods
9. ??
10. ??


International Feature

1. Drive My Car (Japan)
2. A Hero (Iran)
3. Flee (Denmark)
4. The Worst Person in the World (Norway)
5. The Hand of God (Italy)
6. Compartment No 6 (Finland)
7. Hive (Kosovo)
8. Lunana: A Yak in the Classroom (Bhutan)
9. Lamb (Iceland)

Documentary Feature
There's always a surprise here, usually the snub of a supposed front-runner. I think it'll be Summer of Soul that will be snubbed here, but I'm still placing it in my top 5, because all industry support is suggesting it.

1. Flee
2. The Rescue
3. Procession
4. Ascension
5. Summer of Soul
6. Julia
7. The Velvet Underground
8. Attica
9. The First Wave
10. Writing with Fire


Tallies: Films With More Than One Nomination

Dune 11
West Side Story 11

The Power of the Dog 9
Belfast 8
Licorice Pizza 6
King Richard 5
Don't Look Up 4
CODA 3
Drive My Car 3
Encanto 3
Flee 3
House of Gucci 3
tick, tick... Boom! 3
The Tragedy of Macbeth 3
Being the Ricardos 2
Cruella 2
The Eyes of Tammy Faye 2
The French Dispatch 2
Nightmare Alley 2
No Time to Die 2

Friday, April 23, 2021

Oscar Predictions 2021

Best Picture
Looking at my predictions, I'm struck by the possibility that Trial may get Best Picture -- and nothing else. It may be close for Screenplay and Editing, but I think that Nomadland will come out on top. But we'll see what happens earlier in the evening: if Zhao loses in her screenplay catgeory, and Sorkin wins in his, and then if Trial picks up Editing, Trial will be the winner. A strange winner for a strange year.

Will Win: Nomadland
Could Win: The Trial of the Chicago 7


Director
It is very unlikely that anyone will top Zhao this year, as she has been sweeping virtually every award there is thus far.

Will Win: Chloé Zhao, Nomadland
Very Slight Possibility: Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman


Actress
It's been a long time since I've seen an acting category so wide open. Davis, Mulligan and McDormand are battling it out, but don't rule out Day, either. Kirby is in it for the ride. Of the top three, I suspect that Davis will be the surprise loser, with Mulligan coming out on top. The problem with Davis' performance is that she isn't in the film very much, despite being the titular character. It's a great performance, yes, but for a leading role she doesn't carry the film as much as Boseman does, who is widely expected to win his category. Mulligan also feels a little bit "overdue", which contrasts the two-time winning McDormand, who just may win again. I dunno -- this is probably the hardest category of the year. So let's rank them:

1. Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman
2. Viola Davis, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
3. Frances McDormand, Nomadland
-
4. Andra Day, The United States vs. Billie Holiday
-
-

5. Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman


Actor
What a packed category! I can see arguments for any of Boseman, Hopkins and Ahmed -- indeed, they have split the precursors -- but Boseman has both a charismatic performance and a strong winning narrative: a beloved actor, never before nominated, but tragically dying at far too young an age. Hopkins has an Oscar already, but the performance is supposedly amazing (I haven't seen it); Ahmed may have won in another year, I think.

Will Win: Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Could Win: Anthony Hopkins, The Father
Heck If I Know: Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal


Supporting Actress
Earlier in the season, this category seemed wide open, but recently it has solidified around Yuh-Jung Youn.

Will Win: Yuh-Jung Youn, Minari
Surprise!: Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm


Supporting Actor
Judas and its blatant category fraud will still come out on top with Daniel Kaluuya's magnificent, magnetic performance winning. If there's any chance for a surprise, it probably comes from Sacha Baron Cohen, or even Paul Raci; but this one, like the Supporting Actress category, seems locked up.

Will Win: Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah
Surprise!: Sacha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7


Original Screenplay
Now here's a category that has changed in the last legs of the race: it seems that Sorkin's Trial is no longer the favourite here, with Fennell's Promising Young Woman being the most predicted over at GoldDerby. I'm hesitant for some reason to call if for Fennell, as Sorkin's film seems like the kind of middle-brow, liberal, snappy Hollywood political history that voters seem to really go for. But who am I to resist the crowd?

Will Win: Promising Young Woman
Could Win: The Trial of the Chicago 7


Adapted Screenplay
It seems that the two battling out are Nomadland and The Father, which have been splitting the prognosticator's votes. I think Nomadland will need this to win Best Picture, as we know that in recent years the two categories of Screenplay and Picture have been more linked than Directing and Picture. If Nomadland loses this earlier in the evening, I may brace for a surprising lose in Picture. I've also seen some anonymous voters going for Borat Subsequent Moviefilm, but I somehow don't think it has much of a chance here. I could be wrong.

 Will Win: Nomadland
Could Win: The Father


Editing
Oh man -- another battle. Sound of Metal seems to be the consensus here, but what about Best Picture hopefuls Nomadland and Trial? Editing is a category no longer directly linked to Best Picture winners, and it seems that Sound has the "flashiest" editing, which usually tickles the voters just right. I think that if Nomadland sweeps, it'll win here, but that Trial is the more likely. So in the end:

Will Win: Sound of Metal
Could Win: The Trial of the Chicago 7
Sweep: Nomadland


Cinematography
This comes down to two: ASC winner Mank and Best Picture hopeful Nomadland. Do they go with classy black-and-white or the Golden Hour? I think it'll be Mank.

Will Win: Mank
Could Win: Nomadland


Production Design
It looks like a near-complete consensus: Mank will take this one.

Will Win: Mank
Could Win: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

Costume Design
This one will go to Ma Rainey, although I don't know if it deserves it. Ma Rainey's costumes are pretty awesome, but I just think that given the relative fewer costumes there are, versus something like Mank or Emma, may hurt its chances. I'm probably wrong in doubting it.

Will Win: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Could Win: Emma.

Makeup and Hairstyling
Probably an easy win for Ma Rainey. Pinnochio is pretty breathtaking based on production stills, but like me, I don't think enough voters will have seen it. Hillbilly Elegy looks to be nipping at Ma's tail, but can we not go there, please?

Will Win: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Could Win: Hillbilly Elegy
Maybe This Should Win: Pinocchio


Original Score
Easy-peasy. Soul has got this one, giving Reznor and Ross their second Oscar. This is a near-universal consensus.

Will Win: Soul
Maybe: Mank


Original Song
I'm not sure, but it looks like "Speak Now" is the predicted winner here, although there are many people diverting from this consensus. I smell a surprise, though, but not sure which one to throw my support behind.

Will Win: "Speak Now", One Night in Miami
Could Win: "Io Si (Seen)", The Life Ahead


Sound
Easy win for Sound of Metal. It has "sound" in its title! I don't even want to name a "Could Win" here, because I think it's so obvious a winner.

Will Win: Sound of Metal


Visual Effects
Poor Tenet. It didn't do too well at the Oscars this year, but it will be a winner nonetheless.

Will Win: Tenet
 

Animated Feature
Soul is the obvious winner here, but is there Pixar fatigue settling in? Maybe they'll go for a surprise and give the Oscar to Wolfwalkers.

Will Win: Soul
Could Win: Wolfwalkers



International Feature
Vinteberg's Another Round may be about middle-aged dudes drinking, but it's still the expected winner over Quo Vadis, Aida?.

Will Win: Another Round (Denmark)
Could Win: Quo Vadis, Aida? (Bosnia and Herzegovina)
Surprise!: Collective (Romania)


Documentary Feature
Looks like the personified octopus movie is getting the Oscar. Feels like a lightweight winner to me -- maybe it'll be Time or Collective instead, but there's really not much to go on here.

Will Win: My Octopus Teacher
Could Win: Time

The Shorts
I haven't seen any of them, and it's always basically a crapshoot if you haven't, so I'm just going with what looks to be consensus here.

Animated Short
Will Win: If Anything Happens I Love You
Could Win: Opera

Live Action Short
Will Win: Two Distant Strangers
Could Win: The Letter Room

Documentary Short
Will Win: A Love Song for Latasha
Could Win: A Concerto is a Conversation 

TALLY

Nomadland: 3 (Picture, Directing, Adapted Screenplay)
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom: 3 (Actor, Costume, Makeup & Hairstyling)
Mank: 2 (Production Design, Cinematography)
Promising Young Woman: 2 (Actress, Original Screenplay)
Sound of Metal: 2 (Editing, Sound)
Soul: 2 (Animated Feature, Score)

 

Monday, March 15, 2021

Oscar Nominations 2021 Reaction

79/103
If I did the math right, was this my worst year since I've been keeping track? I certainly seems so, dipping into the 70s, but then I remembered: one less category. Sound has been consolidated. So if I add three (let's say I got 3/5 to match each category to what I actually got), I get 82, which is about par.
So I think the story of this year is Judas and the Black Messiah, which has six nominations, including Best Picture and two in Supporting Actor -- four more than the two nominations I was expecting. Ma Rainey's Black Bottom didn't do quite as well as I was guessing, but I think in retrospect it makes sense. Interesting to see it miss out on Picture along with One Night in Miami, as both are stage adaptations, and although I haven't seen them yet, word is that both are, well, stagey.
Nomadland seems to be the frontrunner here now, as Trial missed out on a crucial Directing nomination: but as we have seen, this hasn't meant much the past few years. Green Book, anyone?

Best Picture
I've been over the past few years getting all of these correct. Not this year! Ma Rainey and One Night in Miami miss out.

1. Nomadland
2. The Trial of the Chicago 7
3. Minari
4. Promising Young Woman
5. Mank
8. Sound of Metal
11. Judas and the Black Messiah
13. The Father
6/8


Director
There were rumblings online that Vinterberg would be the surprise here, and they were correct. Happy to see two women become nominees. Sorry, Sorkin!

1. Chloé Zhao, Nomadland
2. David Fincher, Mank
4. Lee Isaac Chung, Minari
5. Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman
10. Thomas Vinterberg, Another Round
4/5

Actress

1. Viola Davis, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
2. Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman
3. Frances McDormand, Nomadland
4. Andra Day, The United States vs. Billie Holiday
5. Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman
5/5

Actor

1. Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
2. Anthony Hopkins, The Father
3. Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal
4. Gary Oldman, Mank
5. Steven Yuen, Minari
5/5

Supporting Actress

1. Olivia Colman, The Father
2. Yuh-Jung Youn, Minari
3. Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
5. Amanda Seyfried, Mank
6. Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy
4/5


Supporting Actor
No one, and as far as I can tell, no one expected Judas to get two nominations here. Apparently the film is without a lead?

1. Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah
2. Sacha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7
3. Leslie Odom Jr., One Night in Miami
4. Paul Raci, Sound of Metal
-.
Lakeith Stanfield, Judas and the Black Messiah
4/5

Original Screenplay
A strong category, but Mank missing out is the story here. Sorry, David Fincher's father.

1. The Trial of the Chicago 7
2. Promising Young Woman
3. Minari
5. Sound of Metal
7. Judas and the Black Messiah
4/5

Adapted Screenplay
Okay, I loved hearing Borat Subsequent Moviefilm's full title and writing team being read aloud. Hilarious.

1. Nomadland
2. One Night in Miami
3. The Father
7. Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
9. The White Tiger
3/5


Editing
Mank didn't do as well as I thought it would, and with it missing here and in Original Screenplay.

1. The Trial of the Chicago 7
2. Nomadland
4. Sound of Metal
5. Promising Young Woman
6. The Father
4/5

Cinematography
I was right: there are surprises here. Minari misses out, and Judas continues its streak.

1. Nomadland
2. Mank
3. News of the World
6. The Trial of the Chicago 7
7. Judas and the Black Messiah
3/5

Production Design
Certainly didn't see The Father walking in here.

1. Mank
2. Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
3. News of the World
5. Tenet
-. The Father
4/5

Costume Design
Didn't expect Pinocchio to be double-nominated this year.

1. Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
2. Mank
3. Emma.
4. Mulan
-. Pinocchio
4/5

Makeup and Hairstyling
I really didn't want to see Hillbilly Elegy to be nominated here, but it was. It might win, too.

1. Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
2. Mank
3. Hillbilly Elegy
5. Emma.
6. Pinocchio
4/5

Original Score
NIN are double nominees. Wow!

1. Soul
2. Mank
3. Minari
4. News of the World
7. Da 5 Bloods
4/5

Original Song
It's rare that I get more than three here, let alone all five nominees.

1. "Speak Now", One Night in Miami
2. "Io Si (Seen)", The Life Ahead
3. "Fight for You", Judas and the Black Messiah
4. "Hear My Voice", The Trial of the Chicago 7
5. "Husavik", Eurovision Song Contest
5/5

Sound
Formerly Sound Mixing and Sound (Effects) Editing. For my score, assume this is doubled.

1. Sound of Metal
2. Mank
3. Soul
6. News of the World
7. Greyhound
3/5


Visual Effects
I found this to be a rather strange line-up, given the two surprises. I'm not even sure if I had heard of The One and Only Ivan before I started researching possible nominees.

1. Tenet
2. The Midnight Sky
3. Mulan
7. The One and Only Ivan
9. Love and Monsters
3/5

Animated Feature
I correctly predicted the selected five, foreseeing that the branch wouldn't nominate The Croods sequel.

1. Soul
2. Wolfwalkers
3. Onward
4. Over the Moon
5. Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon


International Feature
Two surprises!

1. Another Round (Denmark)
2. Quo Vadis, Aida? (Bosnia and Herzegovina)
3. Collective (Romania)
-. Better Days (Hong Kong)
-. The Man Who Sold His Skin
3/5

Documentary Feature
My worst category this year. Mole Agent surprises out of nowhere, and two well-received films that were expected to show up didn't. Always a tough call, this category is.

1. Time
2. Collective
6. Crip Camp
8. My Octopus Teacher
-. The Mole Agent
2/5

TALLIES
Films With More Than One Nomination

Nominations (Predicted Nominations)
Mank - 10 (13)
Judas and the Black Messiah - 6 (2)
Minari - 6 (7)
Nomadland
- 6 (6)
Sound of Metal - 6 (6)
The Father - 6 (3)
The Trial of the Chicago 7 - 6 (6)
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom - 5 (8)
Promising Young Woman - 5 (5)
News of the World - 4 (5)
One Night in Miami - 3 (4)
Soul- 3 (4)
Tenet - 2 (4)
Mulan - 2 (3)
Another Round - 2 (1)
Borat Subsequent Moviefilm - 2 (1)
Collective -
2 (2)
Emma. - 2 (2)
Hillbilly Elegy - 2 (0)
Pinocchio - 2 (0)
Da 5  Bloods - 1 (2)

Sunday, March 14, 2021

Oscar Nominations Predictions 2021

What a bizarre year 2020 was. Let's not dwell on the misery that it was, and let's divert our attention to the late Oscar season.

Mank seems to be poised to be the leader of this year's nominations --I'm looking at 13 nods-- but I don't see it translating well to Oscar night. The frontrunners in that respect are Nomadland and The Trial of the Chicago 7. Consensus seems to be that Trial will pick up Picture and Nomadland Directing, resulting in a "split year". In years past the general trick was to never predict Picture/Directing splits, as they were very difficult to see coming -- but as we have seen since Argo, these have become more common.

But the main story here is the diversity of nominees: we are suspecting that THREE of the Directing nominations could be women (Zhao, Fennell and King), which would also make (with Chung's Minari) THREE non-white directors. Considering that most years have five white men as the nominees, this is astounding!

Looking at the tallies, I see there are two films that I'm surprised to see racking up the potential nominations: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom (8 nods) and Sound of Metal (6 nods). Who woulda thunk it? Certainly not me a year ago.

Best Picture

1. Nomadland
2. The Trial of the Chicago 7
3. Minari
4. Promising Young Woman
5. Mank
6. One Night in Miami
7. Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
8. Sound of Metal
9. Da 5 Bloods
10. Soul
11. Judas and the Black Messiah
12. News of the World
13. The Father
14. Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
15. First Cow
16. The Mauritanian
17. Tenet
18. Pieces of a Woman
19. Hillbilly Elegy
20. Another Round

Director
How exciting would it be to have THREE women nominated? I think King might sneak in, but at whose expense? Could Sorkin miss? Or even *gasp* Fincher? I don't think anyone is locked here other than Zhao, including Fennell.

1. Chloé Zhao, Nomadland
2. David Fincher, Mank
3. Aaron Sorkin, The Trial of the Chicago 7
4. Lee Isaac Chung, Minari
5. Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman
6. Regina King, One Night in Miami
7. Spike Lee, Da 5 Bloods
8. Darius Marder, Sound of Metal
9. Florian Zeller, The Father
10. Thomas Vinterberg, Another Round
Also in Contention: Paul Greengrass (News of the World) Shaka King (Judas and the Black Messiah), Kelly Reichardt (First Cow), George C. Wolfe (Ma Rainey's Black Bottom)

Actress
The top five here seem to be the general consensus: it's unlikely there will be a surprise here.

1. Viola Davis, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
2. Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman
3. Frances McDormand, Nomadland
4. Andra Day, The United States vs. Billie Holiday
5. Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman
6. Sophia Loren, The Life Ahead
7. Amy Adams, Hillbilly Elegy
8. Zendaya, Malcolm and Marie
9. Michelle Pfeiffer, French Exit
10. Yeri Han, Minari

Actor
I have a suspicion that Mikkelsen will make his way in, but again, at whose expense? Yuen?

1. Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
2. Anthony Hopkins, The Father
3. Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal
4. Gary Oldman, Mank
5. Steven Yuen, Minari
6. Delroy Lindo, Da 5 Bloods
7. Mads Mikkelsen, Another Round
8. Kingsley Ben-Adir, One Night in Miami
9. Tom Hanks, News of the World
10. LaKeith Stanfield, Judas and the Black Messiah

Supporting Actress
This is a strange category: everyone's saying Close is in, but I really don't think she survived the critical bashing of the film. Foster won the Globe, meaning that she's likely nominated, and Bakalova has been doing quite well I think. Seyfried seems to be the weak one here, but I somehow have a feeling that she's in.

1. Olivia Colman, The Father
2. Yuh-Jung Youn, Minari
3. Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
4. Jodie Foster, The Mauritanian
5. Amanda Seyfried, Mank
6. Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy
7. Ellen Burstyn, Pieces of a Woman
8. Helena Zengel, News of the World
9. Saoirse Ronan, Ammonite
10. Dominque Fishback, Judas and the Black Messiah

Supporting Actor
Will Trial of the Chicago 7 be multi-nominated here? If so, with who?

1. Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah
2. Sacha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7
3. Leslie Odom Jr., One Night in Miami
4. Paul Raci, Sound of Metal
5. Chadwick Boseman, Da 5 Bloods
6. Mark Rylance, The Trial of the Chicago 7
7. Jared Leto, The Little Things
8. Alan Kim, Minari
9. Bill Murray, On the Rocks
10. Yahya Abdul-Mateen II, The Trial of the Chicago 7

Original Screenplay
A rather strong category this year. I can see any of the top 8 getting in.

1. The Trial of the Chicago 7
2. Promising Young Woman
3. Minari
4. Mank
5. Sound of Metal
6. Soul
7. Judas and the Black Messiah
8. Da 5 Bloods
9. On the Rocks
10. Never Rarely Always Sometimes

Adapted Screenplay

1. Nomadland
2. One Night in Miami
3. The Father
4. News of the World
5. Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
6. I'm Thinking of Ending Things
7. Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
8. First Cow
9. The White Tiger
10. The Mauritanian

Editing

1. The Trial of the Chicago 7
2. Nomadland
3. Mank
4. Sound of Metal
5. Promising Young Woman
6. The Father
7. Minari
8. Tenet
9. News of the World
10. Da 5 Bloods

Cinematography
Tenet wasn't nominated by the Guild, but Trial was -- I still don't think that Trial's rather generic cinematography is deserving, but it somehow snuck in. Let's see if there's a surprise: I feel that this category is ripe for one.

1. Nomadland
2. Mank
3. News of the World
4. Minari
5. Tenet
6. The Trial of the Chicago 7
7. Judas and the Black Messiah
8. Da 5 Bloods
9. Cherry
10. Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

Production Design

1. Mank
2. Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
3. News of the World
4. Mulan
5. Tenet
6. Emma.
7. The Midnight Sky
8. The Trial of the Chicago 7
9. Personal History of David Copperfield
10. Rebecca

Costume Design

1. Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
2. Mank
3. Emma.
4. Mulan
5. News of the World
6. The United States vs. Billie Holiday
7. Personal History of David Copperfield
8. Ammonite
9. Promising Young Woman
10. Birds of Prey

Makeup and Hairstyling
I really don't want to see Hillbilly Elegy to be nominated here, but I suspect it will.
1. Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
2. Mank
3. Hillbilly Elegy
4. Birds of Prey
5. Emma.
6. Pinocchio
7. Jingle Jangle: A Christmas Journey
8. One Night in Miami
9. The Glorias
10. The Little Things

Original Score

1. Soul
2. Mank
3. Minari
4. News of the World
5. The Midnight Sky
6. Tenet
7. Da 5 Bloods
8. The Trial of the Chicago 7
9. The Little Things
10. Mulan

Original Song

1. "Speak Now", One Night in Miami
2. "Io Si (The Life Ahead)", Seen
3. "Fight for You", Judas and the Black Messiah
4. "Hear My Voice", The Trial of the Chicago 7
5. "Husavik", Eurovision Song Contest
6. "Turntables", All In: The Fight for Democracy
7. "Wuhan Flu", Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
8. "Rain Song", Minari
9. "Green", Sound of Metal
10. "Loyal Brave True", Mulan

Sound

1. Sound of Metal
2. Mank
3. Soul
4. Tenet
5. Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
6. News of the World
7. Greyhound
8. Nomadland
9. The Midnight Sky
10. The Trial of the Chicago 7

Visual Effects

1. Tenet
2. The Midnight Sky
3. Mulan
4. Mank
5. Welcome to Chechnya
6. Birds of Prey
7. The One and Only Ivan
8. Soul
9. Love and Monsters
10. Bloodshot

Animated Feature

1. Soul
2. Wolfwalkers
3. Onward
4. Over the Moon
5. Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon
6. The Croods: A New Age
7. The Willoughbys
8. Earwig and the Witch
9. Trolls World Tour
10. No. 7 Cherry Lane


International Feature
I think that A Sun from Taiwan, which has recently been getting some notice by critics and audiences, will be the surprise here.

1. Another Round (Denmark)
2. Quo Vadis, Aida? (Bosnia and Herzegovina)
3. Collective (Romania)
4. La Llorona (Guatemala)
5. Two of Us (France)
6. Dear Comrades! (Russia)
7. A Sun (Taiwan)
8. Night of the Kings (Cote d'Ivoire)
9. I'm No Longer Here (Mexico)

Documentary Feature

1. Time
2. Collective
3. Welcome to Chechnya
4. Dick Johnson is Dead
5. Boys State
6. Crip Camp
7. All In: The Fight for Democracy
8. My Octopus Teacher
9. The Truffle Hunters
10. 76 Days

TALLIES
Films With More Than One Nomination

Mank -
13
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom - 8
Minari - 7
Nomadland
- 6
Sound of Metal - 6
The Trial of the Chicago 7 - 6
News of the World - 5
Promising Young Woman - 5
One Night in Miami - 4
Soul- 4
Tenet - 4
The Father - 3
Mulan - 3
Da 5  Bloods - 2
Emma. - 2
Judas and the Black Messiah - 2
The Midnight Sky - 2
Welcome to Chechnya - 2

Tuesday, March 10, 2020

Stuff Is Neat

To get myself writing on a regular basis, I'm initiating a proposal: I'll start writing two (or three) articles a week that fit into a theme: stuff is neat.

These will be posts that act as crash-courses into small subjects, ranging from the New Hollywood to quarks, from sugar refining to the Suez Canal crisis. The Stuff is Neat series will reflect my jack-of-all-trades background. For those that don't know, I now have three degrees: a Bachelors of Science in Honours Science with a minor in Earth Sciences, a Masters of Arts in Film Studies, and most recently, a Masters of Museum Studies. In between the MA and MMSt I worked on a PhD in English and Film Studies -- although that's another story as to why I didn't finish. In high school, my favourite subject was human geography. In essence, I've always been interested in knowledge in all its forms, and this series will try to be as eclectic as possible.

So what can you (and I!) expect to learn? Think of a university and its faculties: I'll try to delve into material from all of them. I'll veer into the arts, sciences, engineering, and mathematics, in addition to topics that go beyond academia. What the heck is epistemology? How does one change a tire? What material should I use when remodelling a kitchen counter? What were the highlights of sports in the 1970s?

This is something I've wanted to do for a long time, and now that I find myself with extra time, it's the moment to do something about it. Over this next week, I'll begin with three articles: the origins of rock 'n' roll, a cooking process called nixtamalization that involves corn and lime, and a topic close to my heart: guinea pigs!

Over time, if this picks up an audience, I may even ask for guest articles, and of course I'll be asking for suggestions. What is a topic that you think everyone should know about?

Wish me luck!

Tuesday, February 11, 2020

Favourite Films of the 2010s

In a decade dominated by blockbuster sequels and comic book adaptations, I found myself more and more removed from the multiplex. Instead, I embarked on journeys at my local independent cinemas, buried under DVDs of classic films, or watching Turner Classic Movies. It is at the Princess in Waterloo and the Carlton or TIFF Bell Lightbox in downtown Toronto that I saw many of these films, and I feel they represent my rather diverse taste. You'll find chamber dramas, science fiction and musicals intermingled with neo-realism, documentaries and surrealist phantasmagorias. I'm a rather receptive, open audience member, but still a discerning one. I tend towards the emotional, but still appreciate the austere. Simply put: if it's well-crafted, I'll probably enjoy it regardless of genre, language or budget. Here are what I consider my favourite films of the 2010s. Let's begin!

Honourable Mentions


The Illusionist (Sylvain Chomet, 2010)
Toy Story 3 (Lee Unkrich, 2010)
Caesar Must Die (Paolo and Vittorio Taviani, 2012)
Stories We Tell (Sarah Polley, 2012)
A Touch of Sin (Jia Zhangke, 2013)

 Goodbye to Language (Jean-Luc Godard, 2014)
The Theory of Everything (James Marsh, 2014)
Foxcatcher (Bennett Miller, 2014) 
Moonlight (Barry Jenkins, 2016)
mother! (Darren Aronofsky, 2017)

The Florida Project (Sean Baker, 2017)
Call Me By Your Name (Luca Guadagnino, 2017)
Blade Runner 2049 (Denis Villeneuve, 2017)
First Man (Damien Chazelle, 2018)
Apollo 11 (Todd Douglas Miller, 2019)


THE TOP TWENTY


20. The Hateful Eight (Quentin Tarantino, 2015)
Tarantino's best of the decade wasn't the rather excellent Once Upon a Time ...in Hollywood, but this wild blast of a ride. I saw it with some students of mine, and we had a total riot. Thinking back to my most memorable experiences in the cinema, this shines as one of them (another is the Tarantino-Rodriguez Grindhouse premiere). Yes, it's a bit indulgent, and could perhaps use an editing job, but the dialogue is delicious, the score fantastic, and the plot keeps turns enough corners to keep you engaged the entire three hours. 

19. Sicario (Denis Villeneuve, 2015)
Another violent affair, this time filling one with dread. The performances, especially del Toro and Blunt, and the script by Sheridan are excellent, but it's two elements that make this one to remember: first, Jóhannsson's score. One of my favourite composers of contemporary classical music, he sadly passed away a few years ago, but left us with a rather extraordinary oeuvre. The main musical motif of Sicario is a dripping, falling orchestra, and stayed fresh in my memory for weeks afterwards. The second element is the incredible night-vision sequence: claustrophobic, intense, with some of Deakins' best work. Bravura techniques and a stinging political statement to boot, Sicario is brutally violent and very, very scary.

18. Wadjda (Haifaa Al Mansour, 2012)
Saudi feminist neo-realism? It's probably an accurate way to describe Wadjda. Continuing with (neo-)realist cinema's obsession with bicycles (Bicycle Thieves, The Kid With a Bike), here we find a young Saudi girl desperately trying to get her hands on a bike, which is forbidden to girls and women. It's amazing that this film got made in the first place: it was touted as the first Saudi film directed by a woman, which alone is an achievement, but the content is equally radical in a country dominated by extremely conservative Wahhabi Islam. Yet as I often say, good politics doesn't necessarily make good art, but here it's a slam-dunk of technique and emotion.

17. The King's Speech (Tom Hooper, 2010)
Hooper's career may have taken a downfall after this film (Les Misérables is dreadful, and you can read by recent review of Cats), but for a moment at the beginning of the decade, he seemed to be a promising talent, even capturing the Oscar for Directing. The style of the film may seem to be a bit much sometimes, however, I think it actually works. But here's a film that is so good because it's a wonderful story, wonderfully told. The scene with Colin Firth spewing profanities is hilarious and strangely inspiring, especially for those of us who have speech disorders.

16. The Two Popes (Fernando Meirelles, 2019)
A riveting, first-rate film on two of the most powerful figures in the world: Pope Benedict XVI and Pope Francis. I expected a simple chamber drama --by no means a negative-- but was instead greeted with a film that bounces between geographic locations, time, and contemplative states: it makes you laugh, and it makes you think. Led by masterful performances by Jonathan Pryce and Anthony Hopkins, the film is also a stylistic and tonal wonder, which one would expect from the director of City of God.

15. The Act of Killing (Joshua Oppenheimer and Christine Cynn, 2012)
One of the most creative and powerful documentaries I've yet seen, The Act of Killing interviews the perpetrators and victims' families of the Indonesian killings of 1965-66 -- and invites the perpetrators to re-enact these atrocities into scenes that reflect on their feelings and memories of the killings. The resulting scenes are gangster films, Westerns, and even musicals. It's a fascinating, horrific testament to the banality of evil, and to the repercussions that are felt in Indonesia to this day. Not for the faint-hearted, but essential viewing especially for those interested in the documentary form.

14. Whiplash (Damien Chazelle, 2014)
 Whiplash is a crash-boom-bang of a film. It's amazing to think that this was Chazelle's debut feature, considering that it's so expertly put together, with some incredible crisp editing and sound work: but it's also an absorbing story with excellent performances. Dissecting ambition, prodigies, and the student-teacher relationship, it's psychologically intense, like the blast-beat of drums.

13. Shoplifters (Hirokazu Kore-eda, 2018)  
A deeply humanist, sympathetic film, Kore-eda's examination of family, morality and survival is a total triumph and a well-deserving Palme d'Or winner. There's a delicate touch here in a film that could have had a heavier hand in another director's grasp, but instead we have a perfect blend of pathos, humour and coolness. Rarely have I felt so much for an on-screen family.

12. The Favourite (Yorgos Lanthimos, 2018)
Lanthimos is a very particular director, with a bizarre cadence to his writing and direction that is certainly one-of-a-kind. It's therefore a surprise that his best film since Dogtooth is one that he didn't write. Still, the film benefits from Lanthimos' unique directorial touch. Candlelight, conventionally bizarre--yet appropriate--camera lens choices, repetitive music, and a pile of vitriol, this film certainly isn't for everyone, but it's also a cinéaste's treat: an even stranger Barry Lyndon meets All About Eve that has a trio of fantastic actresses tearing each other apart. Delicious.

 11. Arrival (Denis Villeneuve, 2016)
 Science fiction can often go in rather disparate directions: it can be kitschy, it can be horrific, it can be cerebral: think of how The Thing and It Came From Outer Space can exist in the same genre as Things to Come and Star Trek. Villeneuve's film is of the cerebral variety, and it's a mind-twister of a flick. The less I say of the narrative the better, as you want to experience the confusion and awe head-on with little bearing. What I can say is that the film is a technical and narrative marvel, led by one of the leading actresses of her generation, Amy Adams (who was absolutely robbed of an Oscar nomination). The score and soundscape is another Jóhannsson collaboration, this time also featuring Max Richter's perfect "On the Nature of Daylight".

10. Phantom Thread (Paul Thomas Anderson, 2017)
Impeccably directed with such restraint whilst leaping across tonal shifts, Phantom Thread is a treat for audiences that are willing to take in the sumptuous settings with a great deal of acid. The narrative moves to places unexpected, but the film is anchored by excellent performances from all involved: but really, would you expect anything less from Daniel Day-Lewis, directed by Anderson?

9. Amour (Michael Haneke, 2012)
Haneke's cinema of cruelty and sympathy reaches a sort of zenith with Amour, his second Palme d'Or winning film after The White Ribbon. It's tough watching, but also incredibly moving. Riva and Trintignant are pretty much perfect as an elderly couple who live a lonely and difficult existence as he acts as her caregiver after she suffers a stroke. It takes place almost entirely in one Parisian apartment, dominated by only two actors, and is minimal in narrative, but the emotional impact is incredible.

8. Drive (Nicolas Winding Refn, 2011)
Arthouse action isn't something you see very often. A rather divisive film, but I found myself completely enraptured in its mythic neo-noir Los Angeles. Moments of violence puncture a glacial neon environment, supplemented by a synth-soaked score. Refn would take this aesthetic to more extremes with his follow-up Only God Forgives to lesser effect, but here it works gloriously.

7. Parasite (Bong Joon-ho, 2019)
An international arthouse crowd-pleaser? You betcha. Parasite has been a phenomenon at the international box-office, which is a bit surprising given that it's a subversive drama on class distinctions. The film changes tones throughout in unexpected ways, going from hilarious to horrific in only a few minutes -- while sometimes being both. It's biting satire, leaving no one unscathed, but it also has a lot of heart for its characters, being unexpectedly moving at times. Bong has been a fascinating director to watch over the years, and here he really hits a grand slam.

6. The Tree of Life (Terrence Malick, 2011)
From dinosaurs to humanity, a treatise about Life and Everything through the lens of an everyday family. If IMDb and RottenTomatoes are anything to go by, audiences were divided by The Tree of Life; but I found myself on the side of the Cannes Jury and see it as Malick's masterpiece. (Days of Heaven is a close second.) The film is easy to mock, but once you get on its wavelength, it's a powerful picture. Yes, the whispered dialogue. The elliptical narrative. The sheer scope of it all. But there's also the stunning cinematography, the vast ideas, the deeply touching moments. This is a film to savour, to breathe in, to read as if you're tackling Kierkegaard.

5. The Shape of Water (Guillermo del Toro, 2017)
This is truly an "Andrew movie", through and through. Whimsical and magical, a little bit gruesome, a sci fi-horror-romance with a musical number: it's a genre picture elevated to something rather extraordinary. This film seems so tailor-made to my tastes, yet del Toro's signature is written in every frame of the picture, and I think here he really lived up to the promise shown in his 2006 masterpiece Pan's Labyrinth.

4. La La Land (Damien Chazelle, 2016)
A dreamy yet bittersweet Hollywood-set musical that takes more than a liberal dose of inspiration from one of my all-time favourite filmmakers, La La Land is the spiritual sequel to that great one-two punch of Jacques Demy's The Umbrellas of Cherbourg and The Young Girls of Rochefort. While some pictures will take inspiration from the New Waves of Europe and Hollywood and end up being little more than ripped homages, Chazelle is too clever to be a mere copy. He takes what we loved about those nouvelle vague musicals, updates it, and makes it his own. A candy-coated, saturated colour scheme enlivens a wonderful score, led by two memorable performances from Stone and Gosling, who both feel like real people who have found themselves in a City of Stars.

3. Roma (Alfonso Cuarón, 2018)
I saw this at the TIFF Bell Lightbox by myself, and I am not ashamed to admit that I cried. Thrice. Roma is a balancing act of melodrama, social realism, sentimentality and detachment, all wrapped up in some of the most striking cinematography I've come across. This film is both hugely epic and universal in scope, yet intimate and culturally specific to Cuarón's childhood memories. This is detailed filmmaking from a master filmmaker, with even the soundscape being spot-on. Learning more about his directorial techniques at an after-screening talk at TIFF was eye-opening and surprising, and only made me appreciate the film more.

2. Silver Linings Playbook (David O. Russell, 2012)
This is probably my most-watched film of the decade. I rarely have a movie that I'm always in the mood for, and this is one of them. A bittersweet romantic comedy --which even has dancing!-- with an excellent cast, led by career-best work by Cooper and Lawrence. But Silver Linings Playbook isn't just escapist fare: it has a real agenda to it, and that is to give those of us who struggle with our mental health some hope. It might be corn-ball to some, but it really touched me on a very intimate level.

1. Holy Motors (Leos Carax, 2012)
The most thrilling movie of the last ten years is Leos Carax's genre-tripping masterpiece. I managed to re-watch it a few weeks ago at the TIFF Bell Lightbox, and it holds up. I'll write a full review soon, explaining just why I love this film so much. A series of vignettes, it still coalesces into a surrealist dream, led by an astonishing performance (really, performances) by Denis Lavant. It's mind-bending, it's bizarre, it's joyful and melancholy and wonderful and like pure exhilaration captured on film. Few films make me as giddy thinking about them as Holy Motors.



So to sum it up as a list:

1. Holy Motors (Leos Carax, 2012)
2. Silver Linings Playbook (David O. Russell, 2012)
3. Roma (Alfonso Cuarón, 2018)
4. La La Land (Damien Chazelle, 2016)
5. The Shape of Water (Guillermo del Toro, 2017)
6. The Tree of Life (Terrence Malick, 2011)
7. Parasite (Bong Joon-ho, 2019)
8. Drive (Nicolas Winding Refn, 2011)
9. Amour (Michael Haneke, 2012)
10. Phantom Thread (Paul Thomas Anderson, 2017)
11. Arrival (Denis Villeneuve, 2016)
12. The Favourite (Yorgos Lanthimos, 2018)
13. Shoplifters (Hirokazu Kore-eda, 2018) 
14. Whiplash (Damien Chazelle, 2014)
15. The Act of Killing (Joshua Oppenheimer and Christine Cynn, 2012)
16. The Two Popes (Fernando Meirelles, 2019)
17. The King's Speech (Tom Hooper, 2010)
18. Wadjda (Haifaa Al Mansour, 2012)
19. Sicario (Denis Villeneuve, 2015)
20. The Hateful Eight (Quentin Tarantino, 2015)


Biggest Disappointments
Alice in Wonderland (Tim Burton, 2010)
One of my favourite directors at the time paired with some beloved source material didn't pan out the way anyone wanted it to.
Get Out (Jordan Peele, 2017)
Is it a bad film? Not particularly, but I certainly didn't find it to be the masterpiece many made it out to be.
It Follows (David Robert Mitchell, 2014)
I really didn't get the hype with this one, instead scratching my head as to why people found it clever.
Widows (Steven McQueen, 2018)
I love McQueen, but this was too drawn out, lacking thrills and was a rather morose affair.

Most Hated Films
Interstellar (Christopher Nolan, 2014)
The award for most pretentious, convoluted blockbuster of the decade goes to... (Beating Nolan's own Inception!)
Kingsman: The Secret Service (Matthew Vaughn, 2015)
I'm not one to normally shy away from cinematic violence, but this? Despicable.
The Smurfs (Raja Gosnell, 2011)
I think I've actively tried to erase this movie from my mind. (Why did I see it in the first place? It was a family event with my little cousins at the Starlite Drive In.)

Need to See
Rams, White God, The Image Book, Force Majeure, Good Time, A Separation, Knives Out, Your Name., Manchester By the Sea, Burning, Shadow