Wednesday, January 9, 2013

Final Oscar Nomination Predictions

BEST PICTURE
1. Argo (Globes, BAFTA, DGA, SAG, PGA, WGA, NBR, AFI, NSFC Winner, Chicago)
2. Lincoln (Globes, BAFTA, DGA, SAG, PGA, WGA, NBR, AFI, Chicago)
3. Zero Dark Thirty (Globes, BAFTA, DGA, PGA, NYFCC, NBR Winner, AFI, NSFC, Chicago, Boston)
4. Les Misérables (Globes, BAFTA, DGA, SAG, PGA, NBR, AFI)
5. Silver Linings Playbook (Globes, SAG, PGA, NBR, AFI, TIFF)
6. Life of Pi (Globes, BAFTA, DGA, PGA, WGA, AFI)
7. Django Unchained (Globes, PGA, AFI)
8. Amour (LAFC, Palme d'Or, variety of "Best Foreign Language")
9. Beasts of the Southern Wild (PGA, NBR, AFI, Chicago, Camera d'Or)
10. Skyfall (PGA)
11. Moonrise Kingdom (Globes, PGA, AFI)
12. The Master (Globes, NSFC, Chicago)
13. The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel (Globes, SAG)
14. The Impossible
15. The Intouchables

Other Contenders: Anna Karenina, The Dark Knight Rises, Flight, The Sessions, The Avengers, The Dark Knight Rises, The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey, Rust and Bone, Holy Motors, Take this Waltz, Hitchcock

DIRECTOR
1. Ben Affleck, Argo (DGA, Globes, BAFTA, CC, Chicago)
2. Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty (DGA, Globes, BAFTA, NYFCC, NBR, NFSC, Globes, Chicago, Boston)
3. Steven Spielberg, Lincoln (DGA, Globes, CC, Chicago)
4. Ang Lee, Life of Pi (DGA, Globes, BAFTA, CC)
5. Tom Hooper, Les Misérables (DGA, CC)
6. Michael Haneke, Amour (BAFTA, NFSC Winner)
7. Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained (Globes, BAFTA)
8. David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook (CC)
9. Paul Thomas Anderson, The Master (LAFCA, NFSC, Chicago, Boston)
10. Wes Anderson, Moonrise Kingdom
11. Benh Zeitlin, Beasts of the Southern Wild (Chicago)
12. Sam Mendes, Skyfall
13. Robert Zemeckis, Flight

Other Contenders: John Madden (The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel), J.A. Boyana (The Impossible), Christopher Nolan (The Dark Knight Rises), Joe Wright (Anna Karenina), Ben Lewin (The Sessions), Peter Jackson (The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey), Sarah Polley (Take this Waltz)

ACTRESS
1. Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook (LAFC, SAG, Globes, BAFTA, CC, NSFC, Chicago)
2. Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty (NBR, SAG, Globes, BAFTA, CC, NSFC, Chicago)
3. Emmanuelle Riva, Amour (LAFC, BAFTA, CC, NFSC Winner, Chicago, Boston)
4. Marion Cotillard, Rust and Bone (SAG, Globes, BAFTA, CC)
5. Naomi Watts, The Impossible (SAG, Globes, CC, Chicago)
6. Helen Mirren, Hitchcock (SAG, BAFTA)
7. Quvenzhané Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild (CC, Chicago)
8. Rachel Weisz, The Deep Blue Sea (NYFCC, Globes)
9. Maggie Smith, Quartet (Globes)
10. Linda Cardellini, Return
11. Keira Knightley, Anna Karenina
12. Judi Dench, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel (Globes)
13. Michelle Williams, Take this Waltz

ACTOR
1. Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln (NYFCC, Globes, SAG, BAFTA, CC, NFSC Winner, Chicago, Boston)
2. Hugh Jackman, Les Misérables (Globes, SAG, BAFTA, CC)
3. Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook (NBR, Globes, SAG, BAFTA, CC) +1
4. John Hawkes, The Sessions (Globes, SAG, CC, Chicago) -1
5. Joaquin Phoenix, The Master (LAFC, Globes, BAFTA, CC, NSFC, Chicago)
6. Denzel Washington, Flight (Globes, SAG, CC, Chicago)
7. Jean-Louis Trintignant, Amour
8. Anthony Hopkins, Hitchcock
9. Richard Gere, Arbitrage (Globes)
10. Ben Affleck, Argo (BAFTA) *New*
11. Denis Lavant, Holy Motors (NSFC, Chicago, Boston) -1

Other Contenders: Jack Black (Bernie), Jamie Foxx (Django Unchained), Bill Murray (Hyde Park on Hudson), Omar Sy (The Intouchables), Suraj Sharma (Life of Pi), Jake Gyllenhaal (End of Watch)


SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1. Anne Hathaway, Les Misérables (SAG, Globes, BAFTA, CC, NSFC, Chicago)
2. Sally Field, Lincoln (SAG, NYFCC, Globes, BAFTA, CC, NSFC, Chicago, Boston)
3. Helen Hunt, The Sessions (SAG, Globes, BAFTA, CC, Chicago) +1
4. Nicole Kidman, The Paperboy (SAG, Globes) -1
5. Amy Adams, The Master (LAFC, Globes, BAFTA, CC, NSFC Winner, Chicago)
6. Maggie Smith, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel (SAG, Globes)
7. Ann Dowd, Compliance (NBR, CC)
8. Judi Dench, Skyfall (BAFTA, Chicago)
9. Samantha Barks, Les Misérables
10. Emma Watson, The Perks of Being a Wallflower (Boston)
11. Jacki Weaver, Silver Linings Playbook


SUPPORTING ACTOR
1. Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master (SAG, Globes, CC, NSFC, Chicago)
2. Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln (SAG, Globes, CC, NSFC, Chicago)
3. Alan Arkin, Argo (SAG, Globes, CC)
4. Javier Bardem, Skyfall (SAG, BAFTA, CC)
5. Robert DeNiro, Silver Linings Playbook (SAG, CC)
6. Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained (Globes, Boston)
7. Leonardo DiCaprio, Django Unchained (NBR, Globes, Chicago)
8. Matthew McConaughey, Magic Mike (NYFCC, CC, NSFC Winner)
9. Samuel L. Jackson, Django Unchained
10. Dwight Henry, Beasts of the Southern Wild (LAFC, Chicago
11. Ezra Miller, The Perks of Being a Wallflower (Boston)
12. Jason Clarke, Zero Dark Thirty (Chicago
13. Michael Pena, End of Watch
14. Eddie Redmayne, Les Misérables
15. Tom Wilkinson, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel

Other Possibilities: Jude Law, Anna Karenina; William H. Macy, The Sessions



WRITING, ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
1. Mark Boal, Zero Dark Thirty (Globes, WGA, BAFTA, CC, Chicago)
2. Paul Thomas Anderson, The Master (WGA, BAFTA, CC, NSFC, Chicago)
3. Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained (Globes, BAFTA, CC, Chicago)
4. Wes Anderson & Roman Coppola, Moonrise Kingdom (WGA, BAFTA, CC, Chicago, Boston)
5. Michael Haneke, Amour (BAFTA)
6. Rian Johnson, Looper (NBR, WGA, CC, Chicago
7. John Gatins, Flight (WGA, CC)
8. Ava DuVernay, Middle of Nowhere
9. The Intouchables
10. Nicholas Jarecki, Arbitrage


WRITING, ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
1. Tony Kushner, Lincoln (NYFCC, Globes, WGA, BAFTA, CC, NSFC Winner, Chicago, Boston)
2. David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook (Globes, WGA, BAFTA, CC, NSFC, Chicago)
3. Chris Terrio, Argo (LAFC, Globes, WGA, BAFTA, CC, Chicago)
4. David Magee, Life of Pi (WGA, BAFTA, CC)
5. Stephen Chbosky, The Perks of Being a Wallflower (WGA, CC)
6. Benh Zeitlin & Lucy Alibar, Beasts of the Southern Wild (BAFTA)
7. Ben Lewin, The Sessions
8. John Logan, Neal Purvin & Robert Wade, Skyfall
9. Tom Stoppard, Anna Karenina
10. William Nicholson, Les Misérables
11. Richard Linklater & Skip Hollandsworth, Bernie
12. Ol Parker, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel

Quartet, Hitchcock, This is 40, The Dark Knight Rises, The Avengers, The Hunger Games, Cloud Atlas, Rust and Bone, The Deep Blue Sea, The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey


CINEMATOGRAPHY
The ASC and BAFTA nominees are the same -- an interesting (and telling?) fact. So much for my confidence in Zero Dark Thirty, which only a week ago was sitting happily on top of my list.
1. Roger Deakins, Skyfall (ASC, BAFTA, LAFC, CC, NSFC, Chicago)
2. Cloudio Miranda, Life of Pi (ASC, BAFTA, CC, Chicago, Boston)
3. Janusz Kaminski, Lincoln (ASC, BAFTA, CC, Chicago) +1
4. Danny Cohen, Les Misérables (ASC, BAFTA, CC) +1
5. Seamus McGarvey, Anna Karenina (ASC, BAFTA) + 4
6. Mihai Malalmare Jr., The Master (CC, NSFC Winner, Chicago, Boston) -3
7. Greig Fraser, Zero Dark Thirty (NYFCC, NSFC, Chicago) -1
8. Robert Richardson, Django Unchained -1
9. Rodrigo Prieto, Argo -1
10. Robert Yeoman, Moonrise Kingdom (Boston)

Other Contenders: Prometheus, Beasts of the Southern Wild, The Dark Knight Rises, Samsara, Cloud Atlas, The Impossible


FILM EDITING
1. William Goldenberg & Dylan Tichenor, Zero Dark Thirty (LAFC, BAFTA, CC, Chicago, Boston)
2. William Goldenberg, Argo (BAFTA, CC, Chicago, Boston)
3. Tim Squyers, Life of Pi (BAFTA, CC)
4. Fred Raskin, Django Unchained (BAFTA)
5. Michael Kahn, Lincoln (CC)
5. Melanie Oliver & Chris Dickens, Les Misérables (CC)
7. Jay Cassidy, Silver Linings Playbook
8. Leslie Jones & Peter McNulty, The Master (Chicago)
9. Stuart & Kate Baird, Skyfall (BAFTA, Chicago)
10. Leslie Jones & Peter Cloud Atlas (Chicago)
11. Melanie Ann Oliver, Anna Karenina
12. Crockett Doob & Alfonso Gonçalves, Beasts of the Southern Wild

Other Possibilities: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey, Prometheus, Flight, The Avengers, The Amazing Spider-Man, The Dark Knight Rises, Moonrise Kingdom, Amour


PRODUCTION DESIGN
1. Anna Karenina (AGA Period, BAFTA, CC, Chicago)
2. Lincoln (AGA Period, BAFTA, CC, Chicago)
3. Les Misérables (AGA Period, BAFTA, CC, Chicago)
4. Life of Pi (AGA Fantasy, BAFTA, CC)
5. Django Unchained (AGA Period)
6. Prometheus (AGA Fantasy)
7. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (AGA Fantasy, CC)
8. The Master (LAFC, Chicago)
9. Skyfall (AGA Contemporary, BAFTA)
10. Cloud Atlas (AGA Fantasy)
11. Moonrise Kingdom (Chicago)
12. A Royal Affair
13. Argo (AGA Period)
14. The Impossible (AGA Contemporary)
15. The Dark Knight Rises


COSTUME DESIGN
1. Anna Karenina (BAFTA, CC)
2. Les Misérables (BAFTA, CC)
3. Lincoln (BAFTA, CC) +1
4. Django Unchained -1
5. A Royal Affair
6. Argo
7. The Master
8. Cloud Atlas (CC)
9. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (CC)
10. Snow White and the Huntsman (BAFTA) +2
11. Mirror Mirror +2
12. Hitchcock -2
13. Prometheus -2

Other Contenders: Moonrise Kingdom, The Hunger Games, Dark Shadows, The Avengers, Lawless


MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
1. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (CC, BAFTA)
2. Lincoln (CC, BAFTA)
3. Les Misérables (CC, BAFTA)
4. Men in Black 3
5. Hitchcock (BAFTA)
6. Looper
7. Snow White and the Huntsman


ORIGINAL SCORE
1. Dario Marianelli, Anna Karenina (Globes, BAFTA)
2. Mychael Danna, Life of Pi (Globes, BAFTA, CC)
3. John Williams, Lincoln (Globes, BAFTA, CC)
4. Thomas Newman, Skyfall (BAFTA)
5. Alexandre Desplat, Argo (Globes, BAFTA, CC, Chicago)
6. Jonny Greenwood, The Master (CC, Chicago
7. Reinhold Hell, Johnny Klimek &Tom Twyker, Cloud Atlas (Globes)
8. Dan Romer & Benh Zeitlin, Beasts of the Southern Wild (LAFC, Chicago)
9. Howard Shore, The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
10. Alexandre Desplat, Zero Dark Thirty (Chicago)
11. Alexandre Desplat, Moonrise Kingdom (Chicago)


ORIGINAL SONG
1. "Skyfall" from Skyfall
2. "Suddenly" from Les Misérables

From Django Unchained: "Ancora Qui", "Freedom", "Who Did That to You?"
From Brave: "Learn Me Right", "Touch the Sky"
From Joyful Noise: "From Here to the Moon and Back"
From Life of Pi: "Pi's Lullaby"
From Wreck-It Ralph: "When Can I See You Again?"
From Paul Williams Still Alive: "Still Alive"

SOUND EDITING
1. Skyfall
2. The Avengers
3. Django Unchained
4. Zero Dark Thirty
5. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey +2
6. Prometheus -1
7. Life of Pi -1
8. Les Misérables
9. The Dark Knight Rises
10. Wreck-It Ralph
11. Brave
12. Flight
13. Looper
14. Cloud Atlas
15. The Bourne Legacy

Other Possibilities: The Impossible, Jack Reacher, John Carter, Battleship, Snow White and the Huntsman, The Amazing Spider-Man, Men in Black 3, The Hunger Games, The Grey, Frankenweenie, Paranorman, Rise of the Guardians, Argo

SOUND MIXING
1. Les Misérables (CAS, BAFTA)
2. Skyfall (CAS, BAFTA)
3. Zero Dark Thirty (CAS)
4. Django Unchained (BAFTA) +1
5. Lincoln (CAS) +3
6. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (CAS, BAFTA)
7. Life of Pi (BAFTA) +3
8. The Avengers -4
9. Prometheus -2
10. The Dark Knight Rises -1
11. Flight
12. Looper
13. Cloud Atlas
14. Brave (CAS)

Other Possiblities: The Impossible, Jack Reacher, John Carter, The Amazing Spider-Man, The Grey, Frankenweenie (CAS), Rise of the Guardians (CAS), The Hunger Games, Rock of Ages, The Bourne Legacy, Wreck-It Ralph (CAS), 


VISUAL EFFECTS
1. Life of Pi (VES, BAFTA, CC)
2. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (VES, BAFTA, CC)
3. The Avengers (VES, BAFTA, CC)
4. Prometheus (VES, BAFTA)
5. The Dark Knight Rises (CC, BAFTA) +2
6. Cloud Atlas (CC) -1
7. John Carter -1
8. The Amazing Spider-Man
9. Skyfall
10. Snow White and the Huntsman


ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
1. Brave (Globes, PGA, BAFTA, Chicago)
2. Wreck-It Ralph (Globes, PGA, CC, Chicago)
3. Frankenweenie (Globes, PGA, BAFTA, CC, Chicago, Boston)
4. ParaNorman (PGA, CC, BAFTA, Chicago, Boston)
5. Rise of the Guardians (PGA)
6. The Painting
7. The Rabbi's Cat
8. The Pirates! Band of Misfits
9. A Liar's Autobiography: The Untrue Story of Monty Python's Graham Chapman
10. From Up on Poppy Hill
11. Zarafa
12. Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted (CC)
13. The Lorax
14. Hotel Transylvania (Globes)
15. Ice Age: Continental Drift

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
1. Searching for Sugar Man (BAFTA, CC, NSFC, Chicago)
2. How to Survive a Plague (Boston)
3. The Gatekeepers (LAFCA, NSFC Winner)
4. Mea Maxima Culpa: Silence in the House of God
5. 5 Broken Cameras
6. Bully (CC)
7. Ai Weiwei: Never Sorry
8. Chasing Ice
9. The Imposter
10. Detropia
11. The House I Live In
12. This is Not a Film (NSFC)
13. The Invisible War (Chicago)
14. The Waiting Room
15. Ethel


FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
1. The Intouchables, France (Globes, BAFTA, Chicago)
2. Amour, Austria (Globes, NYFCC, LAFC Winner, BAFTA Chicago, Boston)
3. A Royal Affair, Denmark (Globes)
4. War Witch, Canada
5. Kon-Tiki, Norway
6. The Deep, Iceland
7. No, Chile
8. Beyond the Hills, Romania
9. Sister, Switzerland

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